Technology Opinion South Africa

The force of technological change is too strong to ignore

Over the past 50 years, internet technology has rapidly and profoundly changed the way people work, live, play and learn. The power of the internet is allowing African citizens to do more things, from more places, faster and better. Computers, mobile devices, homes, cars, clothes, businesses and even cities are all being connected to the global network.
The force of technological change is too strong to ignore
©Andriy Popov via 123RF

Today's pace of technology change is akin to a vortex, relentlessly sweeping everything into its spiral path, demanding digitisation. The force of this change is too strong to ignore, and anything that fails to adapt, such as outdated business models, will break apart and fall away. Digital disruption is a trend happening in all industries and at a pace that is both appealing and challenging for business leaders.

Today, 15 billion things are connected, moving to 50 billion by 2020 and 500 billion in another decade. Nearly three years ago, we calculated this represented a $19 trillion value opportunity from 2013 to 2022. Currently, the African IT market is at a turning point. The networked connection of people, process, data and things - the Internet of Things (IoT) - has the potential to further accelerate Africa's pace of change.

Advantages of digitisation

We now see the opportunity expanding even faster than expected, with every country, city and business becoming digital. The consumer sector is driving significant IoT value - it's not just about B2B anymore. According to the Economist, 95% of Fortune 1000 companies expect to undertake an IoT project by 2017. Digitisation can transform asset utilisation, employee productivity, supply chain efficiency, and improve customer experiences and more.

Two notable trends are emerging as digitisation begins to sweep through every industry:

People-centricity - two-thirds of the value at stake is about making people more productive (P2P, P2M connections) - up from 56% in early 2013. Digitisation is about liberating the potential of knowledge workers, not replacing people with technology.

Cybersecurity - which represents a $1.8 trillion opportunity, with 52% derived from protecting the loss of intellectual property.

One particular driver of digitisation is the immense growth of mobile in Africa. According to Cisco's Visual Networking Index Forecast, in just four years you can expect to see the number of mobile devices skyrocket, non-PC devices reign supreme, and online video to do a complete takeover of television. Heads up - maybe it's time to start carving out some space for those extra devices in your 2019 home-of-the-future.

Fastest growth rate

The Middle East and Africa (MEA) will post the world's fastest mobile data traffic growth rate from 2013-2018, according to the Cisco Visual Networking Index Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast for 2013 to 2018, which reports that mobile data traffic in the region will increase 14-fold by 2018.

Across MEA, mobile data traffic growth is being driven by the world's fastest uptake of Internet Protocol version 6 (Ipv6)-capable smartphones and tablets, with a CAGR of 35%, rising from 133 million in 2013 to almost 598 million in 2018. In the region, smart wearable devices like watches, glasses, and fitness trackers are also slated to post strong growth from 700,000 in 2013 to eight million in 2018.

As our personal and business lives become increasingly mobile, MEA is really coming to the fore as early, widespread adopters of the latest smartphone and wearable technology. Driven by one of the most tech-receptive and youthful populations on the planet, this is a region that is now extremely well-placed to lead technological innovation in all aspects of daily life and business, leveraging the emerging power of the IoT and faster mobile data networks.

Four trends in mobile data traffic growth

Mobile data traffic growth around the world is driven by four trends: mobile users growing from 4.1 billion in 2013 to 4.9 billion in 2018, mobile internet connections growing from seven billion in 2013 to ten billion in 2018, mobile video growing from 59% of mobile data traffic in 2013 to 69% in 2018, and mobile speeds nearly doubling from 1.4Mbps in 2013 to 2.5Mbps in 2018.

Global machine-to-machine connections, which use wired and Wi-Fi systems to communicate with devices, will grow from 5% of mobile-connected devices and 1% of mobile data traffic in 2013 to 20% of mobile-connected devices and 6% of mobile data traffic in 2018. By the end of 2014, the number of global mobile-connected devices will be more than the number of people in the world, and by 2018 there will be more than ten billion mobile-connected devices and nearly 1.4 mobile devices per capita, according to the report.

On all of these mobile-connected devices, people are also increasingly watching mobile video, with global traffic growing 14-fold from 2013 to 2018, and will represent 69% of total mobile traffic in 2018. Declining in mobile traffic from 2013 to 2018 will be web and data applications (28% to 17%), streaming audio (14% to 11%), and file sharing (4% to 3%).

Security is important

But with greater mobility, comes greater responsibility. Digital technologies are vulnerable to an explosion of cyber attacks and high-level data breaches, which are becoming increasingly targeted. Data breaches have the potential to negatively impact on brand value and customer trust.

Findings from a recent Cisco Security Report reveal that globally, cyber attackers continue to innovate as they slip into networks undetected. An example of a key driver in security breaches is the reality that most apps developed are not secure by design, as many developers use open source components, which result in vulnerabilities. Additionally, BYOD technologies such as smartphones carry vast amounts of data, which could be stolen should the device be misplaced or lost, putting the company at risk.

To secure the next wave of the internet, an end-to-end security approach needs to be as pervasive as the IoT itself. Physical and cybersecurity solutions need to work intelligently together and protect the networks, devices, applications and data that make up the IoT. Cybersecurity solutions need to protect not just networks and devices, but also critical applications and data. Identity-based user and device authentication is critical to securing applications and data across mobile and cloud deployments.

About Andy MacDonald

Andy MacDonald, Vice President, Global Service Provider Business, Cisco, Middle East and Africa
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